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Xu Yongfa, a well-known energy expert and researcher of the China Petroleum Economic and Technical Research Institute, said in a keynote speech that China's natural gas is entering a new historical period of rapid development. Since 2000, China’s natural gas has shown a rapid growth in reserves and production, and has been the backbone of the country’s management. The initial formation of the network and the breakthrough in international cooperation have resulted in the formation of a multi-gas source supply pattern.
According to statistics, China's natural gas reserves have entered a period of peak growth since 2000, with an average annual increase of 475.3 billion cubic meters. By the end of 2008, the cumulative proven geological reserves were 6.34 trillion cubic meters. The remaining recoverable reserves increased from 940.5 billion cubic meters in 1998 to 3.2 trillion cubic meters in 2008, an average annual increase of 226 billion square meters. The ratio of storage and production is kept at a high level, and the growth of natural gas production has a good reserve basis. The output in 2008 was 77.5 billion cubic meters, more than doubled from 2000.
Xu Yongfa said that since 2000 China's natural gas production has increased by an average of 14% annually, while coal production has increased by 10% annually, oil production has increased by 2% annually, and world natural gas production has increased by 3% annually. Natural gas has grown significantly faster than coal and oil and is leading the world.
In terms of the market, China's natural gas consumption increased from 25.4 billion cubic meters to 80.7 billion cubic meters in 2000-2008, and it has accelerated its growth. The average annual increase in 2000-2005 was 4.5 billion square meters, and the average annual increase in 2005-2008 was 11.3 billion square meters. The proportion of natural gas in China’s energy consumption structure has also increased from 2.4% in 2000 to 3.8% in 2008.
China is developing a strategic goal for safe, clean and efficient energy. In 2008, China’s total energy production was 2.6 billion tons of standard coal, and its total consumption was 2.85 billion tons of standard coal. Nearly 9% of energy demand was met by imports.
Xu Yongfa said that in the next 10 years, China will still be in the stage of rapid development of industrialization and urbanization, and energy demand will continue to grow rigidly. It is estimated that by 2015, the total energy consumption will be 3.6 billion tons of standard coal, and in 2020, it will be 4.2 billion tons of standard coal, which will put pressure on ensuring safe and stable supply.
Xu Yongfa said that the experience of natural gas development in the world shows that establishing a complete natural gas industrial system is highly relevant and mutually beneficial to economic and social development. Taking the contribution of the construction and operation of the West-East Gas Pipeline Project to Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region as an example, the industrial added value in the region has increased by more than 25%.
At present, among the natural gas utilization structures in China, industrial fuels and gas for power generation are respectively 27.8% and 14.7%, both lower than the world average; the proportion of chemical gas used is 23.2%, far higher than the world's 5%. Average.
Accelerating the development of natural gas is a realistic option for China
In view of China's energy status and its future development trends, experts attending the Energy Conference of the Eurasian Economic Forum believe that natural gas in China is entering a new historical stage of rapid development and accelerating natural gas development is a realistic choice for China's energy development.